Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.524706 7.214045 8.006258 8.999563 10.235349 11.757061 13.833447
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.983330 6.942685 8.152899 9.855162 12.311353 15.976655 22.529083
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.721541 6.945376 8.636496 11.328688 15.986464 25.208103 53.588421
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.119219 6.392063 8.258117 11.500369 17.988032 34.997358 170.409662
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.838710 6.244240 8.457526 12.769159 23.501507 73.873465 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.535408 6.014145 8.489418 13.853633 30.865621 325.335435 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.137937 5.576167 8.074811 13.878945 36.048656 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.765821 5.130226 7.561955 13.500114 39.920457 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.675621 5.144592 7.938887 15.763408 75.782964 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.706744 5.380056 8.867983 21.045876 1283.073233 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.605142 5.357240 9.243092 25.396462 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.445195 5.197577 9.247093 28.422257 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.217843 4.905715 8.921242 29.954400 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.021820 4.653456 8.647080 31.928434 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.900379 4.541334 8.755604 38.902757 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.678679 4.187521 8.044434 35.050736 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.560332 4.044982 7.960301 39.823456 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.438401 3.879878 7.763541 43.207464 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.285846 3.631238 7.238301 39.274256 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.139788 3.385825 6.687133 34.204705 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.096211 3.364626 6.874175 44.422689 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.098783 3.448825 7.471019 85.254598 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.054118 3.417018 7.643253 142.012668 NaN NaN NaN